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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAustralia's central bank will probably be unable to cut rates in 2024, economist saysPaul Bloxham, chief economist for Australia, New Zealand and global commodities at HSBC, discusses the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to keep rates on hold and the outlook for its monetary policy.
Persons: Paul Bloxham Organizations: HSBC, Reserve Bank Locations: Australia, New Zealand
China's and Australia's flags are seen on the tables where China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Australia's Foreign Minister Penny Wong held their bilateral meeting at Parliament House in Canberra on March 20, 2024. Asia-Pacific markets tracked Wall Street gains on Monday as a softer-than-expected U.S. jobs report fueled hopes that the Federal Reserve could start cutting rates soon. Investors, meanwhile, awaited the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate decision on Tuesday and China's April trade data on Thursday. ING said in a note last week that the RBA meeting was "worth watching closely," adding that recent inflation data from Australia showed growth in prices was starting to accelerate. However, the analysts said Australia's inflation data was better than they had expected, and compared to the US, the country's economy had slowed more with the labor market softening substantially.
Persons: Wang Yi, Penny Wong Organizations: House, Wall, Federal Reserve, Investors, Reserve Bank, ING, Global Locations: Canberra, Asia, Pacific, Australia, Hong Kong, China, India, Japan, South
Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index rose 0.7% to 40,003.60, while the dollar rose to 150.35 Japanese yen from 149.14 yen. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 added 0.4% to 7,703.20 after Australia’s central bank kept its benchmark interest rate steady at 4.35% for a third consecutive meeting. This week's highlight for Wall Street will likely be the Federal Reserve’s meeting on interest rates, which ends on Wednesday. The widespread expectation is for the central bank to hold its main interest rate steady at its highest level since 2001. But Fed officials will also give updated forecasts for where they see interest rates heading this year and in the long run.
Persons: Australia's, Tesla, Stephen Scherr, Wayne “ Gil ”, He’s, It's Organizations: Bank of Japan, Nikkei, Reserve Bank, Bank of England, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Big Tech, Hertz Global Holdings, Cruise, Delta Air Lines, Boeing, Workers, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent Locations: BANGKOK, Asia, Shanghai, Seoul, U.S, Oregon, San Francisco
Asia-Pacific markets are set to rise as investors await GDP and inflation data from around the region this week. Markets will also be watching the U.S. Federal Reserve's first rate decision of 2024, set to be released Wednesday stateside. This week's major events will be China's factory activity figures for January as well as Australia's fourth-quarter inflation figures on Wednesday. This will be last set of key data before the Reserve Bank of Australia's meeting on Feb. 5. On Wednesday, Taiwan and Hong Kong will also release their fourth-quarter GDP numbers.
Organizations: Opera, Vivid, U.S, U.S . Federal, Reserve Bank of Australia's Locations: Sydney, Australia, Asia, Pacific, U.S ., Taiwan, Hong Kong
The Sydney Opera House Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Gallo Images | Brand X Pictures | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set for a mixed open Thursday after stocks fell in the previous session, with mainland Chinese shares touching a near-five-year low. Investors will be watching Australia's unemployment numbers on Thursday for clues on the Reserve Bank of Australia's moves in its February meeting. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index were flat, standing at 15,274 compared with the HSI's close of 15,276.9. Hong Kong stocks plunged almost 4% to hit their lowest level since November 2022 on Wednesday.
Organizations: Sydney Opera House, Getty, Reserve Bank, Nikkei Locations: Sydney Opera House Sydney , New South Wales, Australia, Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka, Hong Kong
Morning Bid: RBA holds and the dollar pauses, too
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Pedestrians walk past the main entrance to the Reserve Bank of Australia building in central Sydney, Australia, October 3, 2016. The relative U.S. interest rate outlook right now fits the weaker dollar narrative - futures markets are pricing in bigger rate cuts by the Fed next year than by any other major or emerging market central bank. But will the Fed cut rates by 125 basis points next year? Doubts about that prospect have for now put the brakes on dollar selling. Gold , which shot to a record high in Asia's notoriously thin morning hours on Monday, has recoiled sharply.
Persons: David Gray, Tom Westbrook, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, REUTERS, Bank, Aussie, Fed, Bank of Japan, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Australia, Asia, U.S, Europe, Tokyo
A worker is reflected in a wall of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) head office in central Sydney, Australia, March 1, 2016. REUTERS/David Gray/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsDec 5 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. The relative U.S. interest rate outlook right now fits the weaker dollar narrative - futures markets have the Fed cutting rates next year more than any major or emerging market central bank. And even if the Fed does go that far, other central banks are sure to lower their policy rates more than markets are currently predicting. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Tuesday:- Australia interest rate decision- Japan - Tokyo inflation (November)- South Korea inflation (November)By Jamie McGeever Editing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: David Gray, Michele Bowman's, Philip Lowe, Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, REUTERS, Reserve Bank of, Reuters, Bank of Japan, U.S, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Australia, Japan, South Korea, Asia, masse, Tokyo
RBA's rate hike: Inflation is 'too high for comfort,' CIO says
  + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBA's rate hike: Inflation is 'too high for comfort,' CIO saysDaniel Murray, deputy CIO at EFGAM, discusses the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate hike.
Persons: Daniel Murray Organizations: EFGAM, Reserve Bank
A man wearing a mask walks past the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank, in Beijing, China, February 3, 2020. The regional economic and policy events calendar this week is jammed with top-tier releases which are sure to give local assets strong steers, especially from China. China's economic surprises index turned positive three weeks ago but despite stronger-than-expected third quarter GDP growth, that momentum has faded. This week's 'data dump' will give a clearer picture of how the economy started the fourth quarter. Indonesia's quarter-on-quarter growth rate is expected to more than halve to 1.71% from 3.86%, according to a Reuters poll, and annual growth is expected to essentially hold steady just above 5%.
Persons: Jason Lee, Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Reserve Bank, Reuters, Bank of Korea, Bank of Japan, Nikkei, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, U.S, Thailand, Philippines, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Indonesian, Japan
The dollar was on the front foot on Wednesday, drawing support from yet another resilient U.S. economic data reading, while the euro struggled to make headway on the back of a darkening growth outlook in the bloc. Against the dollar, the euro was last 0.05% higher at $1.0595, having declined 0.75% on Tuesday. The euro is the most heavily weighted currency in the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six peers. "By contrast, the U.S. Federal Reserve could continue to raise interest rates just because the economic data looks strong." Pressure is mounting on the Bank of Japan to change its bond yield control as global interest rates rise.
Persons: Tina Teng, Matt Simpson, Bitcoin, John Glover Organizations: Wednesday, European Central Bank, CMC Markets, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia's Locations: Bogota, Australia, Wednesday .
[1/2] U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Against the dollar, the euro was last 0.05% higher at $1.0595, having declined 0.75% on Tuesday. The euro is the most heavily weighted currency in the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six peers. "By contrast, the U.S. Federal Reserve could continue to raise interest rates just because the economic data looks strong." Pressure is mounting on the Bank of Japan to change its bond yield control as global interest rates rise.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Tina Teng, Matt Simpson, Bitcoin, John Glover, Rae Wee, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Wednesday, European Central Bank, CMC Markets, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Australia, Wednesday .
Asia markets mixed ahead of Australia's inflation figures
  + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
An aerial view of the central business district and Sydney Opera House on February 17, 2023. David Gray | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets are mixed as investors prepare for Australia's third-quarter inflation figures, which will give clues to the Reserve Bank of Australia's monetary policy decision when it meets on Nov. 3. Economists polled by Reuters expect the headline inflation rate to come in at 5.3%, lower than the 6% seen in the second quarter. In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 extended gains from Tuesday, climbing 0.32% in the morning session. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 17,480, pointing to a rebound after the HSI ended at its lowest level since Nov. 10.
Persons: David Gray, Kospi, HSI Organizations: Sydney Opera House, Getty, Reserve Bank, Reuters, Nikkei Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia
"Central banks are not trying to hit the CPI targets in the near term," said Colin Asher, senior economist at Mizuho. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six peers, fell 0.1% to 106.13, after dropping 0.4% on Monday. Fed officials will enter into a blackout period on Oct. 21 before the central bank's Oct. 31–Nov. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker said on Monday the central bank should not create new pressure on the economy by increasing the cost of borrowing. Australia's central bank considered raising rates at its recent policy meeting but judged there was not enough new information to warrant a move, minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia's Oct. 3 policy meeting showed.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Colin Asher, Asher, Masato Kanda, Valentin Marinov, Marinov, Jerome Powell, Patrick Harker, Sterling, Samuel Indyk, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam, Kim Coghill, Gareth Jones Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Bank of Japan, Mizuho, CPI, Swiss, CIB, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Bank of England, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Thomson Locations: Australia's, London, Singapore
The yen was pinned close to the key 150 per dollar level, keeping traders on edge for any signs of intervention by the Japanese authorities. The yen last fetched 149.62 per dollar, having slipped to 150.17 on Oct. 3, the weakest in a year, before getting some relief in a brief rally. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, eased 0.038% to 106.20, after dropping 0.36% on Monday. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker said on Monday the central bank should not create new pressures in the economy by increasing the cost of borrowing. Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC, said the dollar is likely caught in a range for now.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Powell, Masato Kanda, Israel's shekel, Charu, Jerome Powell, Patrick Harker, Harker, Christopher Wong, Wong, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S ., Swiss, Palestinian, Hamas, Saxo, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Reserve Bank of Australia's, News Zealand, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, East, Singapore, Australia's
REUTERS/Issei Kato/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 17 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Could stocks - and global risk appetite, by extension - be gaining a momentum of their own regardless of what the bond market does? Wall Street's main indexes and the benchmark MSCI indexes for world, Asian and emerging stocks are all higher since the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel. That said, investors in Asia should keep a close eye on the dollar, which is still trading up near 150.00 yen and over 7.30 yuan. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, Wall, Fed's Williams, Bowman, Putin, Xi, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Reserve Bank of, U.S ., ICE, U.S, Treasury, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Israel, Australia, Beijing
[1/2] Banknotes of Japanese yen and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 23, 2022. The dollar fell as low as 147.30 yen versus the Japanese currency, after hitting a one-year high of 150.165. Tuesday's low in the dollar was its weakest level in three weeks versus the Japanese currency. The euro dropped to a roughly two-month low against the yen of 154.39 yen and was last down 0.7% to 155.99. That earlier drove the dollar higher as real interest rates factor in inflation.
Persons: Florence Lo, Shunichi Suzuki, Colin Asher, Sterling, Marc Chandler, Jeremy Stretch, JGB, Herbert Lash, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Lucy Raitano, Joice Alves, Marguerita Choy, Sharon Singleton Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Japan, Japanese Finance, New York Federal Reserve, Mizuho, Bannockburn Global, U.S . Labor, Labor, Survey, CIBC Capital Markets, UST, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Swiss, Thomson Locations: Japan, London, Bannockburn, New York
[1/2] Banknotes of Japanese yen and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 23, 2022. The sharp move lower suggested the Bank of Japan had intervened in the market to keep the yen from falling further. "It has all the hallmarks of intervention in all honesty," said Michael Brown, market analyst at Trader X in London. "The continued uptrend in UST-JGB encouraged the 150 to be breach in the wake of the better-than-expected JOLTS data. The dollar slipped 0.51% against the yen to 149.08 after hitting 150.165 on the JOLTS report.
Persons: Florence Lo, Michael Brown, Marc Chandler, Jeremy Stretch, JGB, Stretch, Shunichi Suzuki, Wei Liang Chang, Russia's rouble, Herbert Lash, Brigid Riley, Alun John, Joice Alves, Kevin Buckland, Marguerita Choy, Sharon Singleton Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Bank of Japan, New York Federal Reserve, Trader, Bannockburn Global, CIBC Capital Markets, UST, Finance, DBS, Strong U.S, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Swiss, Thomson Locations: London, Bannockburn, New York, United States, Europe, Tokyo
Dollar weakens against the yen after yen breaches key 150 level
  + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The Japanese yen has fallen about 25% year-to-date against the greenback. The sharp move lower suggested the Bank of Japan had intervened in the market to keep the yen from falling further. "The continued uptrend in UST-JGB encouraged the 150 to be breach in the wake of the better-than-expected JOLTS data. The dollar slipped 0.51% against the yen to 149.08 after hitting 150.165 on the JOLTS report. The dollar index, which tracks the unit against six peers, was up 0.13% at 107.16, at its highest since November.
Persons: Michael Brown, Marc Chandler, Jeremy Stretch, JGB, Stretch, Shunichi Suzuki, Wei Liang Chang, Russia's rouble Organizations: greenback, The, Bank of Japan, New York Federal Reserve, Trader, Bannockburn Global, U.S, CIBC Capital Markets, UST, Finance, DBS, Strong U.S, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Swiss Locations: London, Bannockburn, New York, United States, Europe
Oct 3 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Investors in Asia are also awaiting the Reserve Bank of Australia's latest policy decision and guidance on Tuesday. But it is the relentless rise in U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar that will set the tone across the region. But the yen continues to slide, suggesting it is still being driven by U.S. yields and the dollar side of the equation. All but two of 32 economists in a Sept. 27-28 poll expected the RBA to hold its official cash rate steady.
Persons: Jamie McGeever, Deepa Babington Organizations: Treasury, Investors, Reserve Bank, Australia's, Bank of Japan, Aussie, ., Reserve Bank of Australia, PMI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Asia, U.S, Japan, Tokyo, Australia, PMIs, South Korea
Take Five: Roll on Q4!
  + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
A possible shutdown would be further evidence of how political polarization in Washington is weakening fiscal policymaking, Moody's says. Economists polled by Reuters expect the U.S. economy created 150,000 jobs in September versus 187,000 in August. 2/ NEW CHIEF IN TOWNThe Reserve Bank of Australia's new governor Michele Bullock, the first woman to head the bank, chairs her first meeting on Tuesday. Meanwhile, New Zealand's Reserve Bank meets on Wednesday. With the cost of living a key election battleground, the drastic cut brings relief to those struggling with mortgage repayments.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Ira Iosebashvili, Kevin Buckland, Harry Robertson, Karin Strohecker, Marc Jones, Joe Biden, Moody's, Michele Bullock, Bullock, Adam Glapinski, Dhara Ranasinghe, Sonali Paul Organizations: REUTERS, ., China, Democratic, Reuters, Reserve Bank of, New, Reserve Bank, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Equity, Treasury, Reserve, ING reckons, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, there's, Australia, Poland, Ira, New York, Tokyo, London, Washington, China, Beijing, Poland's
Dollar firm but softens against yen ahead of FOMC
  + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Brigid Riley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
TOKYO, Sept 20 (Reuters) - The dollar remained firm on Wednesday but softened slightly against the yen ahead of a much-anticipated rate decision by the Federal Reserve later in the day. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of rivals, stayed mostly flat at 105.13 as traders awaited the Fed's rate decision. Dollar/yen could see some upside pressure after a hawkish FOMC meeting, she added. The yen last sat nearly 0.1% higher at 147.77 versus the greenback, off Tuesday's low of 147.92 though hovering near the 10-month trough against the dollar ahead of the FOMC announcement. The New Zealand dollar ticked up over 0.2% against the dollar near $0.5950.
Persons: Carol Kong, Masato Kanda, Brigid Riley, Gerry Doyle Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of Japan's, Reserve Bank, Australia's, New Zealand, Bank of England, bitcoin BTC, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, China, bitcoin
Yen flounders, dollar drifts ahead of c.bank bonanza
  + stars: | 2023-09-19 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. The yen fell 0.1% to 147.76 per dollar and was kept pinned near last week's 10-month low of 147.95 per dollar. The euro meanwhile gave up some of its gains from the previous session and was last 0.12% lower at $1.0678. It had risen alongside euro zone government bond yields on Monday, following hawkish comments from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers that further rate increases were on the cards. In other currencies, sterling edged 0.04% higher to $1.2390, ahead of an interest rate decision from the Bank of England (BoE) also due this week.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Kazuo Ueda, Rodrigo Catril, Erik Weisman, NAB's Catril, BoE, Rae Wee, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal, Wednesday, Bank of Japan's, National Australia Bank, NAB, Reserve Bank of Australia's, U.S, New Zealand, Fed, MFS Investment Management, European Central Bank, ECB, Reuters, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Asia
Sept 19 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The main exception appears to be oil, which continues to forge new peaks for the year in a steady march towards $100 a barrel. Could the oil price spike feature in the raft of central bank policy decisions and outlooks this week? In Asia, that would be the central bank meetings in Taiwan, the Philippines and Indonesia on Thursday, and Japan on Friday. Tuesday's Asian and Pacific economic calendar is pretty light, with the Reserve Bank of Australia's last policy meeting minutes the main event.
Persons: Jamie McGeever, Brent, South Korea's, Deepa Babington Organizations: U.S . Federal, Treasury, Bank of, South, U.S ., Reserve Bank of, Reserve Bank of Australia, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S ., Friday's, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, Bank of Japan, India's, Asia, Taiwan, Philippines, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Malaysian, Malaysia
A customer looks at products marked with discounted prices on display at a chemist in a shopping mall in central Sydney, Australia, July 25, 2018. "Inflation, while slowing, has hurt Australians more during the past 18 months than it has for three decades," National Australia Bank (NAB) CEO Ross McEwan said in a speech at the Australia-Israel Chamber of Commerce. "There is a lot of discussion as to whether Australia will head into a recession as we do have many headwinds. NAB and the three other large lenders which dominate Australia's A$2 trillion ($1.3 trillion) mortgage market have recorded only modest increases in late repayments as unemployment remains near record lows. Immigration to Australia has returned to levels similar to before COVID-19 prompted global border closures, leading to a shortage of housing and underpinning prices.
Persons: David Gray, Ross McEwan, McEwan, Byron Kaye, Himani Sarkar Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, National Australia Bank, NAB, Israel Chamber of Commerce, Reserve Bank, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Australia, Israel, COVID, Lincoln
Dollar firm, yuan slides after China unexpectedly cuts rates
  + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The safe-haven dollar stayed firm against major peers while the yuan sank to a nine-month trough after China's central bank unexpectedly cut key policy rates for a second time in three months on Tuesday to shore up the country's sputtering economy. Chinese data on industrial output and retail sales released shortly after the PBOC's rate cut also fell short of economists' forecasts. The Australian dollar , which often acts as a proxy trade on China, dipped as much as 0.39% to $0.6463 but failed to breach Monday's nine-month low of $0.6454. "There's a floor under (the Aussie dollar), and any rumors of stimulus could light the bullish match for these markets to bounce." Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar pushed to a fresh nine-month high of 145.60 yen before retreating to be down 0.09% at 145.435.
Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Reserve Bank, Australia's, U.S, Traders Locations: China
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